Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000547 0.000592 0.000638 0.000690 0.000747 0.000806 0.000872
2026-01-18 0.000485 0.000549 0.000617 0.000697 0.000787 0.000886 0.001003
2026-01-25 0.000437 0.000512 0.000596 0.000697 0.000816 0.000950 0.001115
2026-02-01 0.000393 0.000475 0.000569 0.000686 0.000827 0.000992 0.001200
2026-02-08 0.000359 0.000445 0.000547 0.000676 0.000837 0.001031 0.001281
2026-02-15 0.000331 0.000420 0.000528 0.000669 0.000847 0.001068 0.001360
2026-02-22 0.000307 0.000398 0.000511 0.000661 0.000857 0.001102 0.001435
2026-03-01 0.000287 0.000379 0.000496 0.000654 0.000864 0.001134 0.001507
2026-03-08 0.000266 0.000359 0.000478 0.000642 0.000865 0.001155 0.001565
2026-03-15 0.000249 0.000342 0.000462 0.000633 0.000867 0.001178 0.001624
2026-03-22 0.000232 0.000323 0.000444 0.000617 0.000859 0.001186 0.001664
2026-03-29 0.000218 0.000308 0.000430 0.000608 0.000860 0.001206 0.001720
2026-04-05 0.000207 0.000298 0.000423 0.000608 0.000875 0.001249 0.001814
2026-04-12 0.000197 0.000289 0.000417 0.000610 0.000894 0.001297 0.001918
2026-04-19 0.000188 0.000279 0.000409 0.000609 0.000907 0.001338 0.002013
2026-04-26 0.000176 0.000266 0.000396 0.000598 0.000906 0.001358 0.002077
2026-05-03 0.000166 0.000254 0.000384 0.000590 0.000907 0.001380 0.002146
2026-05-10 0.000157 0.000244 0.000374 0.000583 0.000910 0.001405 0.002219
2026-05-17 0.000149 0.000235 0.000365 0.000576 0.000913 0.001431 0.002294
2026-05-24 0.000141 0.000226 0.000356 0.000570 0.000916 0.001455 0.002367
2026-05-31 0.000133 0.000216 0.000345 0.000560 0.000912 0.001468 0.002422
2026-06-07 0.000126 0.000208 0.000335 0.000551 0.000910 0.001484 0.002483
2026-06-14 0.000119 0.000197 0.000323 0.000538 0.000899 0.001485 0.002517